Foreign direct investment has been the engine of Mongolian economic growth and is highly dependent on commodity prices. According to UNCTAD World Investment Report 2022, FDI flows to Mongolia amounted to USD 1.7 billion in 2020, down from USD 2.4 billion in 2019 (-29.6%), due to the global economic crisis triggered by the Covid-19 pandemic. It reached USD 2.1 billion in 2021. The total FDI stock amonted to USD 24.2 billion in 2020 and USD 26.3 billion in 2021 (UNCTAD, 2023). The key external factors that crippled the mining-led economy in 2020 and 2021 were a sharp drop in global demand for Mongolia's main commodities and the closure of the border with China. The World Bank assisted Mongolia with its capacity to apply international standards on future mining investment schemes. The assistance, dubbed Mining Infrastructure Investment Support (MINIS) Project, was completed in December 2019. Mongolia is also building its first oil refinery, which is expected to be commissioned by 2022. The project received financial and technical assistance from India in October 2019. Mongolia's main investment partners are China, Canada, Russia, Great Britain and the United States. The sectors attracting the most foreign investment are mining, oil and construction.
Tremendous mineral reserves, agricultural endowments, and proximity to Asia’s vast markets make Mongolia an attractive destination for medium to long-term foreign direct investment (FDI). In 2021, the Ministry of Economy and Development was established newly and replacing the National Development Agency of Mongolia that had been in charge of investment-related matters. The new Ministry's mission is to, among other things, improve integrated investment policy and planning, and its legal environment, ensure and oversee the implementation of relevant legislation, attract, support, and protect investment, implement comprehensive measures to develop the public and private partnership, define integrated policy for a loan, and develop national investment program action plan will be implemented from 2021-2023. The main purpose of the plan is to attract FDI to Mongolia by introducing and promoting specific sectors. The future establishment of the Foreign Direct Investment Promotion Council is expected to expand the functions of existing system supporting investors. The council will focus on FDI attraction plans for specific sectors, improvement of investment environment, investor protection, and aftercare services.
Mongolia made some progress with regards to resolving insolvency, but other countries have shown a better improvement in the business environment. However, the instability of economic policies and regulations, geographical isolation, corruption and inefficient transportation system are significant obstacles. The Mongolian government has launched a programme to improve the country's legal framework in order to boost FDI flows. In particular, it lifted the moratorium on new mineral exploration licenses and to increase the maximum duration of exploration licenses from 9 to 12 years. All sectors of the Mongolian economy are open to FDI, including raw materials, livestock and many other sectors with high development potential (mining, food processing, telecommunications, tourism). Strong inflows of mining-related FDI (about 10% of GDP) help finance the current account deficit, but are affected by the global economic situation (COFACE, 2021). Mining investments, the bulk of foreign direct investment in recent years, half of which has been in the OT project, have come to a halt. The Oyu Tolgoi (OT) copper and gold mine mine expansion project, which had already been delayed due to difficult ground conditions and government renegotiations, started in October 2022. Mongolia Foreign Direct Investment registered a growth equal to 12.9 % of the country's Nominal GDP in December 2021, compared with a growth equal to 15.3 % in the previous quarter (CEIC, 2022).
Growth depends heavily on foreign direct investment (FDI), but this is likely to fall in 2024. Mining and the broader extractive industry has been a key driver of economic growth, but its business cycle is highly volatile because it depends on FDI and PRC demand for minerals. Indeed, 72.8% of FDI stock was in mining and other extractive industries in 2010–2022.Absorbing 50%–90% of net FDI annually since 2010, Oyu Tolgoi, one of the world’s largest copper mines, will complete its underground mine project in 2023 (ADB, 2023).
Mongolia | East Asia & Pacific | United States | Germany | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Index of Transaction Transparency* | 6.0 | 5.9 | 7.0 | 5.0 |
Index of Manager’s Responsibility** | 8.0 | 5.2 | 9.0 | 5.0 |
Index of Shareholders’ Power*** | 8.0 | 6.7 | 9.0 | 5.0 |
Source: Doing Business - Latest available data.
Note: *The Greater the Index, the More Transparent the Conditions of Transactions. **The Greater the Index, the More the Manager is Personally Responsible. *** The Greater the Index, the Easier it Will Be For Shareholders to Take Legal Action.
Foreign Direct Investment | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 |
---|---|---|---|
FDI Inward Flow (million USD) | 2,443 | 1,719 | 2,140 |
FDI Stock (million USD) | 22,555.7 | 24,206.7 | 26,346.4 |
Number of Greenfield Investments* | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Value of Greenfield Investments (million USD) | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Source: UNCTAD - Latest available data
Note: * Greenfield Investments are a form of Foreign Direct Investment where a parent company starts a new venture in a foreign country by constructing new operational facilities from the ground up.
Income tax | 10% |
Non-residents | 20% |
Mongolia | East Asia & Pacific | United States | Germany | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Number of Payments of Taxes per Year | 19.0 | 23.4 | 10.6 | 9.0 |
Time Taken For Administrative Formalities (Hours) | 134.0 | 195.1 | 175.0 | 218.0 |
Total Share of Taxes (% of Profit) | 25.7 | 33.8 | 36.6 | 48.8 |
Source: Doing Business - Latest available data.
Setting Up a Company | Mongolia | East Asia & Pacific |
---|---|---|
Procedures (number) | 8.00 | 7.25 |
Time (days) | 12.00 | 29.73 |
Source: Doing Business.
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Latest Update: May 2023