In this page: Economic Indicators | Foreign Trade in Figures | Sources of General Economic Information | Political Outline | COVID-19 Country Response
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Despite being rich in natural resources, Madagascar is among the poorest countries in the world. Political instability, weak institutions and poor governance have been impediments to the country's economic growth. Economic activity, which displayed a certain dynamism until 2019, contracted by an estimated -6.1% in 2020 due to the outbreak of the COVID-19 (IMF). Economic activity gradually recovered in 2021, with GDP growth reaching an estimated 2.9%, supported by the mining, textile, and service sectors (IMF). Growth is expected to further strengthen to 4.8% in 2022 and 5.1% in 2023 (IMF). Risk factors that can affect growth include social fragility, fiscal imbalances and vulnerability to external shocks.
The economy of Madagascar was severely impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic, due to the fall of tourism activities, exports and lower domestic demand. As tax revenues decreased sharply, the fiscal situation deteriorated, the domestic primary balance turning from a small surplus to a deficit. In 2021, the economy started to recover, but public finances continued to deteriorate. Public deficit reached 6.6% GDP in 2021 and is forecast to amount to 6.1% GDP in 2022 according to the 2022 budget. Public debt (almost exclusively concessional) increased from 46% GDP in 2020 to 48.8% GDP in 2021, but remains sustainable. It is expected to further increase to 49.3% GDP in 2022 and 49.4% GDP in 2023 (IMF). Mainly driven by food products and imports, inflation increased from 4.2% in 2020 to 6% in 2021, and is expected to reach 6.4% in 2022 and 6.2% in 2023 (IMF). The IMF called for prompt policy action to support the poor. In March 2021, the IMF and Malagasy authorities agreed on a medium-term program of about USD 320 million under the Extended Credit Facility (ECF). This program aims at supporting recovery, preserving macroeconomic stability, rebuilding fiscal space and advancing reforms. The authorities are also committed to pursue the delayed Madagascar Emergence Plan 2019/2023, that aims to stimulate the country's economic growth through an increase in public and private investments, the strengthening of human capital and the improvement of governance. Among the country's persistent socio-economic challenges are poverty, corruption and the infrastructure deficit.
The ILO estimates the unemployment rate in Madagascar in 2020 at 1.9% of the total active population, but Madagascar’s living conditions remain among the lowest in the world. According to the World Bank, extreme poverty concerned almost three quarters of the population in 2019, and the pandemic worsened the situation. The ongoing famine in the South of the country is a major concern. Malagasy people have a low life expectancy due to poor living conditions, particularly in matters of sanitation and hygiene. According to WaterAid Madagascar, around 70% of the population does not have access to adequate sanitation and 89% of Malagasy people do not have access to improved toilets. As a result, there is a high risk of the spread of major infectious diseases among the population. More than half of the country's children suffer from a serious form of malnutrition. In addition, the country remains extremely vulnerable to climate shocks, such as hurricanes, floods, locust infestations and public health crises. The south of the country faces security concerns due to armed robbery of livestock.
Main Indicators | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
GDP (billions USD) | 13.06 | 14.28 | 15.11 | 16.06 | 17.18 |
GDP (Constant Prices, Annual % Change) | -7.1 | 4.3 | 4.2 | 5.2 | 5.2 |
GDP per Capita (USD) | 478 | 507 | 522 | 540 | 562 |
General Government Gross Debt (in % of GDP) | 50.8 | 53.1 | 53.8 | 53.1 | 53.6 |
Inflation Rate (%) | 4.2 | 5.8 | 9.8 | 8.0 | 7.5 |
Current Account (billions USD) | -0.70 | -0.70 | -0.82 | -0.82 | -0.87 |
Current Account (in % of GDP) | -5.4 | -4.9 | -5.4 | -5.1 | -5.1 |
Source: IMF – World Economic Outlook Database , Latest available data
Note: (e) Estimated Data
Madagascar is the leading exporter of vanilla in the world. Agriculture, including fishing and forestry, accounts for 25.1% of GDP and employs 64% of the population according to World Bank data (even though the majority of inhabitants practice subsistence farming). The main crop is rice, grown on almost half of the agricultural land. The main other agricultural products are: coffee, sugar cane, cloves, cocoa, cassava, beans, bananas, peanuts and livestock products. The agricultural sector is limited by low productivity due to the minimal use of modern agricultural techniques, the lack of infrastructure and a great vulnerability to climatic fluctuations, but benefits from numerous ongoing investments aimed at meeting these challenges. Deforestation and erosion, compounded by excessive use of firewood, are of serious concern.
The industrial sector contributes 19.5% of GDP and employs 9% of the active population (World Bank). It is dominated by mining (precious stones including rubies, sapphires, emeralds, etc.), textiles and agro-industry. Other business sectors include soap making, glassware, cement, automotive assembly, paper and petroleum.
The tertiary sector contributes to 49.6% of the GDP and employs 27% of the active population. Trade has performed well in recent years (with growth of around 5% per year), as well as tourism, which is one of the main assets of the country and whose potential is still untapped.
Madagascar's economy suffered from the COVID-19 pandemic. Tourism, mining, vanilla production and textile were the most impacted sectors.
Breakdown of Economic Activity By Sector | Agriculture | Industry | Services |
---|---|---|---|
Employment By Sector (in % of Total Employment) | 64.1 | 8.7 | 27.1 |
Value Added (in % of GDP) | 24.7 | 19.5 | 50.4 |
Value Added (Annual % Change) | -1.4 | -21.6 | -4.8 |
Source: World Bank - Latest available data.
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Monetary Indicators | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Malagasy Ariary (MGA) - Average Annual Exchange Rate For 1 MUR | 89.37 | 90.37 | 98.27 | 101.92 | 96.27 |
Source: World Bank - Latest available data.
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The Economic freedom index measure ten components of economic freedom, grouped into four broad categories or pillars of economic freedom: Rule of Law (property rights, freedom from corruption); Limited Government (fiscal freedom, government spending); Regulatory Efficiency (business freedom, labour freedom, monetary freedom); and Open Markets (trade freedom, investment freedom, financial freedom). Each of the freedoms within these four broad categories is individually scored on a scale of 0 to 100. A country’s overall economic freedom score is a simple average of its scores on the 10 individual freedoms.
Economic freedom in the world (interactive map)
Source: Index of Economic Freedom, Heritage Foundation
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Foreign trade accounts for 49% of Madagascar’s GDP (World Bank), a country that collects a large share of its revenues in the form of customs duties, import taxes and VAT on imports. Madagascar is the 139th exporting economy in the world and the 137th importer. The country is a member of the WTO and COMESA (Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa) and does not have significant non-tariff barriers. In addition, most products can be imported without an import license. The country mainly exports vanilla (26.1%), clothing (11.4%), raw nickel (7.3%), crustaceans (5%), titanium ores (4.9%), essential oils (3.6%), gold (3.5%) and cloves (3.35). Its main imports are petroleum oils (11.4%), rice (5.6%), medicines (3.2%), palm oil (3%), fabrics (2.3%) and motor vehicles (1.9%).
Madagascar's main customers are France (23.1% of total exports), the United States, Germany, China and the Netherlands. Its main suppliers are China (25.4% of total imports), India, France, the United Arab Emirates, and South Africa. Despite its abundant resources, Madagascar still struggles to channel its trade revenues into further development. Like other island states, Madagascar faces high transportation costs. The lack of well-developed infrastructure makes commercial transactions expensive, hindering private sector competitiveness. However, the country aims to improve logistics at the main ports and airports in order to improve trade. While the European Union is by far the largest client of Malagasy products, exports to member states of North American Free Trade Agreement have received a huge boost since 2017 following a decision by the United States to reinstate Madagascar in its trade preference programme (Africa Growth and Opportunity Act).
The country's trade balance has been traditionally negative and despite a steady increase in exports, this trend is unlikely to be reversed over the medium-term as imports continue to outpace exports. In 2020, merchandise exports amounted to USD 1.99 billion, while imports reached USD 3.22 billion. Exports of services amounted to USD 626 million, and imports reached USD 650 billion (WTO). In 2020, exports of goods and services decreased by -11.7% compared to 2019 while imports increased by 6.6%. Exports of mining products, vanilla and textiles were impacted by the Covid-19 pandemic.
Foreign Trade Indicators | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Imports of Goods (million USD) | 3,670 | 4,061 | 3,942 | 3,224 | 4,408 |
Exports of Goods (million USD) | 2,848 | 3,110 | 2,696 | 1,987 | 2,726 |
Imports of Services (million USD) | 1,089 | 1,123 | 1,022 | 650 | 1,180 |
Exports of Services (million USD) | 1,244 | 1,341 | 1,449 | 626 | 589 |
Imports of Goods and Services (Annual % Change) | 23.7 | 11.1 | 4.6 | -16.6 | 7.4 |
Exports of Goods and Services (Annual % Change) | 45.4 | 2.4 | 10.9 | -36.6 | 11.6 |
Imports of Goods and Services (in % of GDP) | 34.4 | 36.3 | 34.2 | 28.9 | 29.4 |
Exports of Goods and Services (in % of GDP) | 30.9 | 31.5 | 28.4 | 20.1 | 21.0 |
Trade Balance (million USD) | -450 | -458 | -844 | -900 | -969 |
Trade Balance (Including Service) (million USD) | -344 | -414 | -603 | -1,129 | -1,427 |
Foreign Trade (in % of GDP) | 65.3 | 67.8 | 62.6 | 49.0 | 50.4 |
Source: WTO – World Trade Organisation ; World Bank , Latest Available Data
Main Customers (% of Exports) |
2021 |
---|---|
France | 19.2% |
United States | 18.1% |
China | 13.2% |
Japan | 8.7% |
Netherlands | 5.2% |
See More Countries | 35.4% |
Main Suppliers (% of Imports) |
2021 |
---|---|
China | 19.4% |
France | 10.2% |
Oman | 10.2% |
India | 8.3% |
United Arab Emirates | 5.9% |
See More Countries | 46.0% |
Source: Comtrade, Latest Available Data
Source: Comtrade, Latest Available Data
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The world rankings, published annually, measures violations of press freedom worldwide. It reflects the degree of freedom enjoyed by journalists, the media and digital citizens of each country and the means used by states to respect and uphold this freedom. Finally, a note and a position are assigned to each country. To compile this index, Reporters Without Borders (RWB) prepared a questionnaire incorporating the main criteria (44 in total) to assess the situation of press freedom in a given country. This questionnaire was sent to partner organisations,150 RWB correspondents, journalists, researchers, jurists and human rights activists. It includes every kind of direct attacks against journalists and digital citizens (murders, imprisonment, assault, threats, etc.) or against the media (censorship, confiscation, searches and harassment etc.).
The Indicator of Political Freedom provides an annual evaluation of the state of freedom in a country as experienced by individuals. The survey measures freedom according to two broad categories: political rights and civil liberties. The ratings process is based on a checklist of 10 political rights questions (on Electoral Process, Political Pluralism and Participation, Functioning of Government) and 15 civil liberties questions (on Freedom of Expression, Belief, Associational and Organizational Rights, Rule of Law, Personal Autonomy and Individual Rights). Scores are awarded to each of these questions on a scale of 0 to 4, where a score of 0 represents the smallest degree and 4 the greatest degree of rights or liberties present. The total score awarded to the political rights and civil liberties checklist determines the political rights and civil liberties rating. Each rating of 1 through 7, with 1 representing the highest and 7 the lowest level of freedom, corresponds to a range of total scores.
Political freedom in the world (interactive map)
Source: Freedom in the World Report, Freedom House
For a general overview of international SME support policy responses to the COVID-19 outbreak refer to the World Bank's Map of SME-Support Measures in Response to COVID-19.
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Latest Update: March 2023