In this page: Economic Indicators | Foreign Trade in Figures | Sources of General Economic Information | Political Outline | COVID-19 Country Response
For the latest updates on the key economic responses from governments to address the economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, please consult the IMF's policy tracking platform Policy Responses to COVID-19.
Declining global gas and oil prices and the armed conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan in Nagorno-Karabakh took a toll on Azerbaijan's economic growth from recent years. After entering a recession in 2020, Azerbaijan’s economy rebounded in 2021, with growth estimated at 3%. Private consumption (55% of GDP) was the main driver, coupled with increased energy prices that favoured the country’s exports. In total, the country's oil and gas production is expected to reach 746,000 barrels per day in 2022, up from 565,000 barrels in 2020. The IMF forecasts a gradual deceleration of GDP, at 2.3% this year and 1.7% in 2023.
The current account returned to a significant surplus in 2021, thanks to increased demand and higher prices for hydrocarbon and to the resumption of expatriate remittances (representing 3% of GDP). In early 2022 Azerbaijan reinstated the limit on the growth of budget spending of 3% year-on-year and committed to a reduction in the non-oil primary deficit. Public debt reached 28.9% in 2021 (from a pre-pandemic level of 17.7%). It is projected to remain stable this year before increasing to 30.9% in 2023 (IMF). The recovery in domestic demand, as well as the surge in global food and oil prices, affected inflation, which surpassed the Central Bank’s 4% target, reaching 4.4% in 2021. The rate is expected to ease in 2022 following the decision of the Central Bank to increase its main policy rate by 25 basis points to 7,25%, whereas pressure on imported prices should reduce, resulting in a rate of around 3.2% over the forecast horizon.
After peaking in 2020, the unemployment rate returned on a downward path last year, standing at 6.4%. For 2022 and 2023, the IMF forecasts a rate of 6.3% and 6.2%, respectively. Azerbaijan’s GDP per capita (PPP) stood at USD 14,856 as of 2021 (IMF). According to Asian Development Bank, 4.8% of the population lives below the national poverty line. Finally, the problem of corruption remains unresolved and may act as an impediment to the country's development.
Main Indicators | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
GDP (billions USD) | 42.69 | 54.62 | 70.07 | 71.21 | 75.03 |
GDP (Constant Prices, Annual % Change) | -4.2 | 5.6 | 3.7 | 2.5 | 2.5 |
GDP per Capita (USD) | 4,241 | 5,398 | 6,842 | 6,872 | 7,154 |
General Government Gross Debt (in % of GDP) | 21.3 | 26.4 | 20.7 | 22.1 | 23.8 |
Inflation Rate (%) | 2.8 | 6.7 | 12.2 | 10.8 | 8.0 |
Unemployment Rate (% of the Labour Force) | 7.2 | 6.0 | 5.9 | 5.8 | 5.8 |
Current Account (billions USD) | -0.23 | 8.29 | 22.20 | 22.40 | 18.45 |
Current Account (in % of GDP) | -0.5 | 15.2 | 31.7 | 31.4 | 24.6 |
Source: IMF – World Economic Outlook Database , Latest available data
Note: (e) Estimated Data
Azerbaijan has a workforce of 4.8 million out of its 10.1 million population (World Bank data). Its economy is based on gas and oil, steel, iron, chemical and petrochemical products, and textiles. Agriculture accounts for 6.9% of GDP and employs 36% of the population (World Bank, latest data available). Main crops include wheat, barley, corn, fruits (wine grapes), potatoes, cotton, tea, silk and tobacco. The country also produces other potentially valuable crops, including indigenous pink grapes and persimmon. According to FAO, total 2021 cereal production was estimated at a near‑average level of 3.1 million tonnes. The output of wheat (1.8 million tonnes) was 5% below the five‑year average level due to reduced plantings. By contrast, the 2021 barley production was estimated at 990,000 tonnes, about 7% above the average due to an increase in the area planted.
Industry accounts for 41.4% of GDP and employs 14.8% of the population (World Bank). Besides oil products and its derivates, Azerbaijan produces cement, machinery, cotton, and foodstuffs. The oil and gas industry accounted for around 95% of all industrial activity in the early 2000s, but the Azeri government has since implemented efforts to diversify the economy. The manufacturing sector is estimated to account for 5.7% (World Bank). According to government officials, Azerbaijan's industrial zones produced USD 1.4 billion worth of goods in 2021, 88.3% more year-on-year.
Services account for 42.5% of GDP and employ 49.2% of the population. Flourishing service sectors include banking, construction and real estate. The latest figures from the State Statistical Committee show that in 2020 the total number of foreign tourists stood at 267,383, compared to 1.31 million one year earlier, as a direct consequence of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Breakdown of Economic Activity By Sector | Agriculture | Industry | Services |
---|---|---|---|
Employment By Sector (in % of Total Employment) | 36.0 | 14.8 | 49.2 |
Value Added (in % of GDP) | 5.9 | 48.4 | 37.6 |
Value Added (Annual % Change) | 3.3 | 2.0 | 9.3 |
Source: World Bank - Latest available data.
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Monetary Indicators | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Azerbaijanian New Manat (AZN) - Average Annual Exchange Rate For 1 MUR | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.04 |
Source: World Bank - Latest available data.
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The Economic freedom index measure ten components of economic freedom, grouped into four broad categories or pillars of economic freedom: Rule of Law (property rights, freedom from corruption); Limited Government (fiscal freedom, government spending); Regulatory Efficiency (business freedom, labour freedom, monetary freedom); and Open Markets (trade freedom, investment freedom, financial freedom). Each of the freedoms within these four broad categories is individually scored on a scale of 0 to 100. A country’s overall economic freedom score is a simple average of its scores on the 10 individual freedoms.
Economic freedom in the world (interactive map)
Source: Index of Economic Freedom, Heritage Foundation
The business rankings model measures the quality or attractiveness of the business environment in the 82 countries covered by The Economist Intelligence Unit’s Country Forecast reports. It examines ten separate criteria or categories, covering the political environment, the macroeconomic environment, market opportunities, policy towards free enterprise and competition, policy towards foreign investment, foreign trade and exchange controls, taxes, financing, the labour market and infrastructure.
Source: The Economist Intelligence Unit - Business Environment Rankings 2020-2024
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Trade represents 72.2% of Azerbaijan's GDP (World Bank, latest data). However, its foreign trade still relies heavily on the ex-Soviet bloc countries, especially Russia. Oil and gas represent over 95% of the country's exports. A significant part of the country's imports is made of capital goods, from machinery and vehicles to electrical equipment. Its oil and especially gas reserves provide the country with a degree of confidence for the coming years, but economic diversification remains a major problem to tackle. Other challenges include promoting more economic cooperation and openness and reducing the power of monopolies.
Azerbaijan's main export destinations are Italy (30.4%), Turkey (18.9%), Russia (5.2%) and Greece (3.8%) while main import partners are Russia (18.3%), Turkey (14.6%), China (13.2%) and the U.S. (5.9% - COMTRADE 2020 data). Turkish-Azeri trade is estimated at around USD 4.5 billion, with both countries' governments targeting to raise total trade to USD 15 billion. Bilateral trade with Russia reached USD 2.9 billion for the January-November period of 2021, marking an increase above 10% year-on-year.
According to WTO data, in 2020, Azerbaijan exported goods with a total value of USD 13.4 billion, while imports reached USD 10.7 billion. Exports of services amounted to USD 2.6 billion, and imports amounted to 5.4 billion. Following an unprecedented drop in exports, the total external trade balance was negative by 0.8% of GDP according to the World Bank (via-à-vis positive balance of almost 12.3% one year earlier). The latest data from the State Customs Committee shows that in 2021, Azeri exports stood at USD 22.207 billion, with imports totalling USD 11.706 billion. Compared to the previous year, exports increased by 61.6% and imports by 9.1%. As a result, the foreign trade balance returned positive, with a surplus of USD 10.501 billion.
Foreign Trade Indicators | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Imports of Goods (million USD) | 8,782 | 11,466 | 13,668 | 10,731 | 11,706 |
Exports of Goods (million USD) | 15,476 | 20,317 | 19,636 | 13,470 | 22,207 |
Imports of Services (million USD) | 8,004 | 6,679 | 6,303 | 5,386 | 5,918 |
Exports of Services (million USD) | 4,661 | 4,661 | 3,727 | 2,594 | 3,795 |
Imports of Goods and Services (in % of GDP) | 41.9 | 37.6 | 36.8 | 36.4 | 29.9 |
Exports of Goods and Services (in % of GDP) | 48.5 | 54.1 | 49.1 | 35.6 | 46.7 |
Trade Balance (million USD) | 6,115 | 9,841 | 8,533 | 2,512 | 11,274 |
Trade Balance (Including Service) (million USD) | 2,735 | 7,779 | 5,917 | -329 | 9,151 |
Foreign Trade (in % of GDP) | 90.4 | 91.7 | 85.8 | 72.0 | 76.6 |
Source: WTO – World Trade Organisation ; World Bank , Latest Available Data
Main Customers (% of Exports) |
2021 |
---|---|
Italy | 41.6% |
Türkiye | 12.7% |
Russia | 4.1% |
Israel | 4.0% |
Croatia | 3.4% |
See More Countries | 34.1% |
Main Suppliers (% of Imports) |
2021 |
---|---|
Russia | 17.7% |
Türkiye | 15.8% |
China | 14.0% |
Germany | 5.4% |
Ukraine | 4.0% |
See More Countries | 43.1% |
Source: Comtrade, Latest Available Data
Source: Comtrade, Latest Available Data
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4.6 bn USD of services exported in 2018 | |
---|---|
57.37% | |
Personal travelPersonal travel | 44.36% |
Business travelBusiness travel | 13.01% |
26.65% | |
11.51% | |
1.72% | |
1.18% | |
0.64% | |
0.38% | |
0.27% | |
0.27% |
6.7 bn USD of services imported in 2018 | |
---|---|
34.12% | |
Personal travelPersonal travel | 29.65% |
Business travelBusiness travel | 4.47% |
22.71% | |
19.89% | |
17.40% | |
2.41% | |
1.49% | |
1.10% | |
0.63% | |
0.25% |
Source: United Nations Statistics Division, Latest Available Data
Other prominent parties include: Great Order Party, Democratic Reforms Party, Unity Party, Civic Unity Party, Azerbaijan Democratic Enlightenment Party, Azerbaijan Social Prosperity Party, Azerbaijani Social Democratic Party.
The world rankings, published annually, measures violations of press freedom worldwide. It reflects the degree of freedom enjoyed by journalists, the media and digital citizens of each country and the means used by states to respect and uphold this freedom. Finally, a note and a position are assigned to each country. To compile this index, Reporters Without Borders (RWB) prepared a questionnaire incorporating the main criteria (44 in total) to assess the situation of press freedom in a given country. This questionnaire was sent to partner organisations,150 RWB correspondents, journalists, researchers, jurists and human rights activists. It includes every kind of direct attacks against journalists and digital citizens (murders, imprisonment, assault, threats, etc.) or against the media (censorship, confiscation, searches and harassment etc.).
The Indicator of Political Freedom provides an annual evaluation of the state of freedom in a country as experienced by individuals. The survey measures freedom according to two broad categories: political rights and civil liberties. The ratings process is based on a checklist of 10 political rights questions (on Electoral Process, Political Pluralism and Participation, Functioning of Government) and 15 civil liberties questions (on Freedom of Expression, Belief, Associational and Organizational Rights, Rule of Law, Personal Autonomy and Individual Rights). Scores are awarded to each of these questions on a scale of 0 to 4, where a score of 0 represents the smallest degree and 4 the greatest degree of rights or liberties present. The total score awarded to the political rights and civil liberties checklist determines the political rights and civil liberties rating. Each rating of 1 through 7, with 1 representing the highest and 7 the lowest level of freedom, corresponds to a range of total scores.
Political freedom in the world (interactive map)
Source: Freedom in the World Report, Freedom House
For a general overview of international SME support policy responses to the COVID-19 outbreak refer to the World Bank's Map of SME-Support Measures in Response to COVID-19.
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Latest Update: March 2023